As of July 1, 2026, the population of the Abay Region amounted to 592.9 thousand people, including 374.3 thousand urban residents (63,1%) and 218,6 thousand rural residents (36,9%). Compared to the beginning of 2026, the population decreased by 2,8 thousand people, or 0.5%.

Natural Population Change

Overall, in the Abay Region, the natural population increase for January–June 2026 amounted to 1079 people, which is 16.1% lower compared to January–June 2025 (1286 people). The overall rate of natural increase was 3.67 per 1000 population.

According to civil registration records provided by the civil registry offices, the number of births for January–June 2026 totaled 3683, which is 6.9% lower than during the corresponding period of 2025 (3956 births). The crude birth rate amounted to 12.53 births per 1000 population.

During the reporting period, the number of deaths totaled 2604 people, which is 0.5% less than in January–June 2025 (2670 deaths). The crude death rate amounted to 8.86 deaths per 1000 population.

In January–June 2026, 23 deaths of infants under one year of age were registered in the region, which is 17.9% lower compared to the corresponding period of 2025 (28 infant deaths). The infant mortality rate amounted to 6.24 per 1000 live births.

Population Migration

According to data provided by the migration service authorities, in January–June 2026 the number of people arriving in the region amounted to 15891 , while the number of people leaving the region totaled 19795. As a result of external and internal migration, the migration decrease amounted to 3904 people.

The main external migration exchange occurred with CIS countries. The number of arrivals from CIS countries amounted to 55 people, or 64,7% of the total number of migrants, while the number of departures amounted to 49 people, or 92.45%. The majority of arrivals and departures involved the Russian Federation.

Migration with non-CIS countries resulted in a positive balance: 30 people arrived in the region, while 4 people left. Most arrivals came from China, while most departures were to Germany.

Regarding interregional migration, the number of arrivals amounted to 7275 people, while departures totaled 11211 people, resulting in a negative migration balance of 3936 people.

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Methodological explanations

The natural growth rate is the difference between the total fertility and mortality rates.

The total fertility rate is an indicator that determines the intensity of childbearing in relation to the entire population. Represents the ratio of the total number of live births during the period to the average population. As a rule, it is calculated per 1000 population.

The total mortality rate is an indicator that determines the intensity of mortality of the population. Represents the ratio of the total number of deaths during the period to the average population. As a rule, it is calculated per 1000 population.

The infant mortality rate is an indicator that determines the mortality rate of children under the age of one year. It is calculated by the ratio of the number of deaths under the age of 1 to the number of live births. The infant mortality rate is calculated per 1,000 live births.

Population migration -   the   movement  of people (migrants) across the borders of certain regions with a change of residence.

Migrant - a person who commits a migration with change of residence.

Number of arrivals -    the   number of people who have entered into the region because of its limits during the reporting period.

Number of departures - the number of people who left the region outside of its boundaries during the reporting period.

www.stat.gov.kz / Official statistics / By industry / Demographic statistics

© Bureau of National statistics Agencies for Strategic planning and reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan

Source : https://www.gov.kz/memleket/entities/abay/press/news/details/1269702?lang=ru