Recommendations on trading strategy for producers of grain, oilseeds and legumes 04.11.2024

Recommendations on trading strategy for producers of grain, oilseeds and legumes 04.11.2024

16.11.2024 18:27:42 1803

These recommendations are given in the article "grain and oilseeds. Kazakhstan " was developed by the research bureau.
Cereals
As part of the conclusion of export contracts through the Food Contract Corporation, the price of Grade 3 wheat with branded meat increased by 28. However, the cost of the" four", which, according to the RCC, will be shipped, has not changed.
According to the peasants, the elevators are filled with cereals, in turn, not everyone has the opportunity to wait and therefore sell at the price offered by traders, regardless of the cost. The cost of a "troika" with wax is reduced.
According to traders, buyers from Uzbekistan "want to buy 4th grade at a price of 5th grade, and 3rd grade for quality".
from elevator, with VAT, TG / kg
Current average price (elevator)
Changes
Recommendation
Maximum possible
Possible minimum
soft wheat Grade 3, 28 CLK +
110
+5
Sales
145
90
soft wheat Grade 3, up to 25 CLK
77
-3
Sales
95
70
soft wheat Grade 3, up to 23 CLK
66
-3
Sales
85
60
soft wheat Grade 4, up to 20 CLK
61
-
AS NEEDED
80
50
soft wheat Grade 5, 17
to the CLC
52
-
Sales
65
35
barley Grade 2
50
-
Sales
60
35
Durum (Prot 14+)
85
-
ACCORDING TO THE NEED
120
70
Durum (Prot 15+)
104
-
Stop
150
90
red – decrease in a week, Green-increase
Fatty/Legumes
As market participants predicted, prices for rapeseed, flax, sunflower and safflower increased in the group of oilseeds.
The price of soybeans, beans, mustard and lentils has fallen.
from elevator, with VAT, TG / kg
Current price
Change
Recommendation
Maximum possible
Possible minimum
Linen
194
+7
Sales
200
170
Rapeseed
200
+5
Sales
250
180
Sunflower
174
+2
Stop
190
160
Safflower
89
+4
Stop
110
85
Soy
195
-12
Sales
285
200
Mustard black / white
215
-35
AS NEEDED
300
200
Peas (yellow)*
92
-3
AS NEEDED
170
80
Lentils (red)**
178
-4
Sales
220
180
Lentil Green (in large volumes) **
328
-20
Stop
450
350
* - northern regions with premium quality, * * -italics without VAT allocated new products
Comments:
Current prices are weighted average VAT prices within Kazakhstan on the elevator or car with which contracts are concluded. Prices may vary depending on the region, quality indicators, delivery conditions.
Recommendations: it is recommended to suspend stop trading until more favorable prices; sell if necessary (technical, financial); sell-sell the goods, since favorable prospects are not expected in the near future.
Perhaps Max is the upper price limit, which the authors of this particular brochure seem to be able to reach the price in the current trading season. This opinion is not final and may vary depending on the situation.
Perhaps min is the lower price limit that culture can reach in the current season.
Warning:
Please evaluate these proposals as subjective opinions of the authors. The booklet is only informational in nature. The recipients of the booklet are the real owners of the business and its assets and independently make the decision to sell them.
It is also strictly forbidden to transfer this booklet to third parties. The success of our common cause depends on this!
Qazagrobilim

Source : https://www.gov.kz/memleket/entities/moa/press/news/details/876743